New variance ratio tests to identify random walk from the general mean reversion model

نویسندگان

  • Kin Lam
  • May Chun Mei Wong
  • Wing-Keung Wong
چکیده

We develop some properties on the autocorrelation of the k-period returns for the general mean reversion (GMR) process in which the stationary component is not restricted to the AR(1) process but takes the form of a general ARMA process. We then derive some properties of the GMR process and three new nonparametric tests comparing the relative variability of returns over different horizons to validate the GMR process as an alternative to random walk. We further examine the asymptotic properties of these tests which can then be applied to identify random walk models from the GMR processes.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Testing Weak-Form Efficient Capital Market Case Study: TSE and DJUS Indices

The present study investigated weak-form market information efficiency in Tehran security exchange (TSE) as an emerging market and in Dow Jones United States security exchange (DJUS) as a developed market based on random walk model. In each market, the random walk model was examined using daily and monthly returns of a set of indices. The results of the parametric and non-parametric tests indic...

متن کامل

A Study of Testing Mean Reversion in the Inflation Rate of Iran’s Provinces: New Evidence Using Quantile Unit Root Test

T his paper is to examine the mean reverting properties of inflation rates for Iran’s 25 provinces over the period from 1990:4 to 2017:7. To the end, we use various conventional univariate linear and non-linear unit root tests, as well as quantile unit root test by Koenker and Xiao (2004). Results of conventional unit root tests indicate that the null hypothesis of the unit root test...

متن کامل

Price Discovery in Time and Space: The Course of Condominium Prices in Singapore

There is increasing evidence that aggregate housing price are predictable. Despite this, a random walk in time and independence in space are two maintained hypotheses in the empirical models for housing price measurement used by government agencies and by commercial companies as well. This paper examines the price discovery process in individual dwellings over time and space by relaxing both as...

متن کامل

Random Walk versus Breaking Trend in Stock Prices: Evidence from Emerging Markets

Abstract This paper investigates whether stock-price indices of seventeen emerging markets can be characterized as random walk (unit root) or mean reversion processes. We implement a test that can account for possible structural breaks in the underlying series and is considerably more powerful than standard tests for a random walk. We find that for fourteen countries, stock prices exhibit signi...

متن کامل

Mean Reversion in Stock Prices: New Evidence from Panel Unit Root Tests for Seventeen European Countries

There is a large and growing literature that investigates evidence for mean reversion in stock prices. Empirically, there is no consensus as to whether stock prices are mean reverting or random walk processes; at best, the results are mixed. In this paper, we provide further evidence on the mean reversion hypothesis for seventeen European countries using the Levin and Lin (1992), seemingly unre...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:
  • JAMDS

دوره 2006  شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2006